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However, it is clear that with 7-8 point shift, UDF could be ahead of LDF and Chandy or Chennithala could be CM instead of Vijayan. Winning the 2021 assembly polls is a political necessity for the DMK, which has remained out of power in Tamil Nadu since May 2011. With Kishor being roped in by DMK, he will now be working with two major anti-BJP parties – the Trinamool Congress and the DMK – which will face assembly elections in their respective states of West Bengal and Tamil Nadu in the same year. If alone in Alappuzha district LDF loses 2 seats , UDF may gain 21 more seats from rest of 13 districts of Kerala. On our fantasy game platform, Stalin is marginally ahead at 63 at the moment. It has a strength of 234 members of whom are democratically elected using the First-past-the-post system. If my predictions are correct, AIADMK will never win more than 20 seats in the 2021 election. PIL Against Population Explosion In the month of May 2018, Ashwin Kumar Upadhyay moved a PIL in Delhi High Court to direct the Centre to implement population control measures on the ground that population explosion was the root cause behind rise in crimes, pollution and dearth of resources and jobs in the country. The biggest challenge for the NDA is the very ordinary performance of the economy in Assam apart from the chaos induced by CAA and NRC. A recent opinion poll conducted by Crowdwisdom360 indicates the Congress backed UDF is gaining. In the fantasy game, CM Pinarayi Vijayan is comfortably ahead at 62, Chandy is way behind at 44. Kishor has successfully handled the poll campaigns of Narendra Modi in 2014, Nitish Kumar (2015), Amarinder Singh (2017) and Y.S. All the rights which were protected by our former leaders were brutally destroyed in the past 4 years. But if a politician is below 50, one must look at the rival as well. This is in line with the opinion poll results. You can also sell a prediction if you are convinced it will not come true or you find a better alternative. © 2020 The Printers (Mysore) Private Ltd. Parliament Monsoon Session live: Rajya Sabha adjourned till 9 am tomorrow, 'We’re on solid legal footing on draft EIA norms’, Coronavirus news live updates: Covid-19 vaccine in India likely to be rolled out sometime next year, says Bill Gates, 'Situation at friction points in Ladakh still tense', '40L under surveillance for Covid-19 contact tracing', Xiaomi launches new Redmi 9i series in India, Punjab ex-DGP gets interim protection in 1991 case, Oil slips as bleaker demand outlook weighs on sentiment, In five months, J&K records 30% dip in GST collection, A freshly killed chicken is mightier than Covid-19, Ragini mixes water in urine sample to 'cheat' drug test, Want the team at SAI till end of year: Reid, Non-stop Bengaluru-San Francisco flight from 2021. The opinon poll was conducted in Aluppuzha District of Kerala which has 9 Assembly seats. Jagan Mohan Reddy (2019). UDF is comfortably retaining Haripad assembly seat. Select Topic To Start Playing Your Favourite Prediction Game. Congress is in trouble everywhere with a sniffing chance in Assam and Kerala. The continued increase in cases as well as likely return of lakhs of Malayalis from Middle East can really mess up the situation for him. Let us look at the predictions. A recent opinion poll conducted by Crowdwisdom360 indicates the Congress backed UDF is gaining. : The 234 seats of Tamil Nadu Legislative assembly will go on for polls in 2021. So it is not all easy for Mr. Vijayan. On 5th july, it was RJD founders day and Tejashwi was on the streets on a cycle. DH Toon | Rahul takes a dig at Modi over GDP, Covid-19, Asian mosquito species threaten African cities, The Lead | M Visveswaraya: An engineer par excellence. In the fantasy game, Mamata is ahead at 41 while Dilip Ghosh is at 31. To conclude,  LDF is losing momentum and UDF is gaining but gains don't translate into government change. In our last Bihar assembly election Opinion Poll analysis, it was clear that NDA was now heading towards a landslide in Bihar. The seat forecasts in the opinion poll are as follows. While this does not get direct engagement with voters, media coverage enables great reach and indirect engagement. “Happy to share that many bright & like-minded young professionals of Tamil Nadu are joining us under the banner of @IndianPAC to work with us on our 2021 election and help shape our plans to restore TN to its former glory!” Stalin wrote on Twitter. Deccan Herald News now on Telegram - Click here to subscribe. However, things don't look great for him going ahead given the deteriorating TN economy, divisions within the AIADMK and the close margin of victory in the 2016 election. The term of the Assembly is five years unless it is dissolved earlier. The DMK has signed up poll strategist Prashant Kishor to draw a successful strategy for the 2021 Assembly elections in Tamil Nadu. One big reason is the continued clashes between LJP and JD(U). This election will be volatile and unpredictable until the very end even if Mamata remains ahead until counting day. This would translate into 67 seats for UDF, yet not enough for UDF to form government. In a Bihar Opinion Poll released later today, we will re-confirm the same. We can even call this as one of the Dark age for the state of Tamil Nadu. Still, all this means that the election is volatile simply because the NDA alliance appears to be in some strife at the moment. Amit Shah is unlikely to allow this. Mamata is ahead primarily because of BJP's weakness in South Bengal, Lack of strong leadership alternative to Mamata, BJP's own struggles with the economy while Mamata has done much better on the economy than most States. You can skip to see remaining predictions and prediction summary. Tamil-Nadu Assembly Elections 2021 Opinion Poll, Schedule For Assembly Election Tamil-Nadu 2021, Tamil-Nadu Assembly Election 2021 Updates, Tamil Nadu Election Results 2021 by Constituency, Tamil Nadu Election Results in 2021 Party Wise, Tamil-Nadu opinion poll 2021 Election Survey Result Predictions, Tamil-Nadu Opinion Poll 2021, Tamil-Nadu poll 2021,Tamil-Nadu Assembly election opinion poll 2021, Tamil-Nadu assembly election 2021, Tamil-Nadu, Tamil-Nadu election opinion exit poll. Coins Have Been Added To Your Wallet. While NDA may land up with about 50% of the seats, congress will end up with about 48 seats which is not enough to form a Government unless it allies with Badruddin Ajmal, a low possibility. Of the 9 seats in 2016 LDF have won 7 seats. Should the strife continue all the way until election day, NDA could actually be in trouble because of the alliance uncertainty. Sonowal is at 47 while Gogoi is at 17. Though the DMK-led alliance swept the April Lok Sabha polls in Tamil Nadu, it could not replicate the success formula in by-elections to two assembly constituencies held in October. 2. In Kayamkulam seat, there seems to be a close fight. 1. The 2021 Tamil Nadu election will be the first full state legislative election without Jayalalithaa and M. Karunanidhi. Wrong turn led whales to crocodile-infested river? On our fantasy game platform, Stalin is marginally ahead at 63 at the moment. However, in the fantasy game, predictors have placed Nitish Kumar behind Tejashwi. ; alone has powers to legislate laws covering state subjects in the Indian state of Tamil Nadu. On July 2nd, LJP fired a leader for saying there was NO problem in the coalition. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy. In sum, the results look quite good for regional parties whether it is DMK or TMC or AGP or AIUDF or even the Left Front in Kerala. BJP led NDA is expected to gain in the upcoming assembly election with about 15% voteshare as per survey carried by Asianet, thus hurting both LDF and UDF alliance. The presiding officer of the Assembly is called the Speaker. A recent Opinion Poll by Asianet-Cfore confirmed that the Left Front could do the impossible and return to power next year. The opinon poll was conducted in Aluppuzha District of Kerala which has 9 Assembly seats. Tamil Nadu Assembly Election Prediction. Should a prediction come true, you get 100 bonus points for each unit/share owned For every wrong prediction, the number of units/shares become zero Price of a prediction will go up if there is demand and more people believe that the prediction will come true. You have insufficient coins to play the game. With 9-10 months to go for the election, no one is willing to hand over the election on a platter to Mamata Banerjee. One unit is like one share. DMK ropes in Prashant Kishor for 2021 TN assembly polls. Also, the DMK will have to face new players like Kamal Haasan and Rajinikanth, the latter making controversial statements and projecting himself as an alternative to Dravidian parties, besides tackling the challenge from a resurgent AIADMK led by Palaniswami and the BJP, though it is a marginal player in the state. UDF on the other hand seems to gain Aroor from LDF and  Kuttanad from National Congress. Users get rewarded bonuses for good performance by politicians whether on social media on google trends or on opinion polls. We predict the results of the Assembly Elections 2020-21 using Opinion Polls, Google Trends and Crowdwisdom360's fantasy gaming platform. Tamil-Nadu Assembly Election Opinion poll 2021 Election Survey Result Who will win Tamil-Nadu Polls BJP INC CPI JDU LJP ABP News CSDS Voter Opinion/Exit poll Constituency Party Wise 2021 CM Candidate The Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly ; alone has powers to legislate laws covering state subjects in the Indian state of Tamil Nadu. Putting an end to months of speculation, Tamil Nadu's ruling party, the AIADMK announced that its Chief Ministerial candidate for the 2021 Assembly polls would be the party's joint Coordinator Edappadi K Palaniswami, who is also the incumbent Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu. One reason is that unlike Tejashwi who is out on the street engaging with voters, Stalin has played a much lower key waiting for Corona to end. Responding to the PIL, Delhi High Court asked the Central Government to file a response on a plea seeking implementation of proposal by the National Commission to Review the Working of the Constitution (NCRWC) on population control and “two child norms” as criteria for government jobs, aids and subsidies. BJP on its own cannot win Bihar. Kerala election is around 8-9 months away. As per the polls, LDF seems to retaining 4 seats of Aluppuzha district, Bihar assembly election Opinion Poll analysis, A recent Opinion Poll by Asianet-Cfore confirmed, Each prediction is similar to a company in the stock market, Instead of real money, you trade with 10000 points that you can buy at the beginning of the game. In a recent opinion poll by ABP Majha CNX, Mamata is still ahead of BJP with a vote share gap of about 6%. Fantasy Gaming Platforms follow the concept of wisdom of the crowds. The AIADMK, which was perceived as weak after the death of its charismatic leader J Jayalalithaa in 2016, won the seats with a wide margin heralding the arrival of Edappadi K Palaniswami as a leader in his own right. Of the 9 seats in 2016 LDF have won 7 seats. On our platform while Sonowal is not above 50, he is way ahead of his rivals. EPS Palaniswamy on the other hand is in the news everyday on account of Corona which is one reason why EPS is quite close to Stalin on both Google Trends and on the fantasy game. The Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly ; alone has powers to legislate laws covering state subjects in the Indian state of Tamil Nadu. The presiding officer of the Assembly is called the Speaker. We are covering 5 assembly elections, Assembly Election 2020 Updates : Kerala Opinion Poll Update. As per the polls, LDF seems to retaining 4 seats of Aluppuzha district Cherthala, Ambalapuzha, Mavelikara and Chengannur - comfortably. (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); ALSO READ: Political Consulting Firm in India for preparation of Assembly Elections 2020, Tamil-Nadu Assembly Election Opinion poll 2021 Election Survey Result Who will win Tamil-Nadu Polls BJP INC CPI JDU LJP ABP News CSDS Voter Opinion/Exit poll Constituency Party Wise 2021 CM Candidate, Tamil-Nadu Assembly Election Opinion poll 2021 Election Survey Result Who will win Tamil-Nadu Polls BJP INC CPI JDU LJP  ABP News  CSDS Voter Opinion/Exit poll Constituency Party Wise 2021 CM Candidate.

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