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Ballotpedia features 318,790 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. † Clinton won the … New Mexico: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein. When the polls failed to accurately predict the British general election in May 2015, it took a blue ribbon panel and more than six months of work before the public had the results of a data-driven, independent inquiry in hand. And what do the exit polls actually tell us about who won the election? The reality is that Edison has a bunch of statistical models that have been sitting on a computer since last fall, and they plug information into them as it comes in.”. The Race for the White House, 2016 edition, does not feature an incumbent. If there are fewer than five qualifying polls, we look back, by date, until up to five^ qualifying polls are found. The 2016 presidential election polls show that Donald Trump lost in four key swing states. Presidential election, 2016/General election polls - Google News. But in an interview this week with the news site Raw Story, Simon was more restrained. [1] Bush received 426 electoral votes to Dukakis' 111.[2]. Clinton (D) Clinton collected 232. In the second set, we matched these same candidates in a series of three-way contests that also included former governor Gary Johnson. But, the outcome was far different. + Utah and Idaho only. These polls can drive campaign strategy: signaling to those in the lead to stay the course to maintain their standing and telling those in the back of the race that changes may be necessary to remain competitive. Numbers in parentheses represent that state's electoral votes. Read more about Donald Trump and Melania in Spanish at AhoraMismo.com: Melania Trump: Las Fotos Más Sexys y Escandalosas de la Esposa de Donald Trump, 2016 Exit Polls vs. Actual Results: Here’s What May Have Happened, Copyright © 2020 Heavy, Inc. All rights reserved. Election Projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here. These results are automatically generated from Google. But the popularity of early and mail-in voting has exploded and Edison’s methods can’t keep up. Clinton, as of November 16 with reportedly several million votes nationwide yet to be counted, led the national popular vote by 0.9 percentage points, or approximately 1.6 million votes. Did Facebook Fake News Win Election For Trump? “That is where I’ve tended to go, is to look at that risk rather than screaming fraud from the rooftops and claiming proof.”. The average methodology is summarized below the table. Select the link below each chart to see all the polling detail for that state. Below, see a sampling of 2016 presidential general election polls. POLITICO's Live 2016 Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Exit polls were correct, Hillary Clinton won — #Crosscheck & the other 9 methods to steal votes flipped the election https://t.co/CaVD7NvEd0 pic.twitter.com/WQD88dGbDv, — Greg Palast (@Greg_Palast) November 15, 2016. Help me bring that number down to zero. Since the U.S. Constitution prohibits our chief executives from serving more than two terms, Obama’s name won’t be on the ballot when Americans head to the polls on November 8, 2016. “Edison developed its statistical models months before the vote, and long before there were any pre-election polls suggesting which candidate was likely to win a given race,” wrote Joshua Holand earlier this year in The Nation magazine. If the exit polls had reflected actual results in any three out of the four swing states — Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — Clinton would be president-elect today. The original election projection website, since 2003, This year, I'm relying more than ever on readers to support Election Projection. Here are the facts. During 2016, Hillary Clinton led Donald Trump in 84% of national polls while Trump led in 12%. Use the sort to view the polls in different ways. After his historic election in 2008, President Obama secured a second term in 2012. In all seven states, Clinton polled higher than Trump. Powered by. Between January and early June, Clinton led in 84% of national polls while Trump led in 14%. RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Use the check box to switch between Clinton vs. Trump polls and those that also include Johnson and/or Stein. Evolving Strategies and Ballotpedia surveyed 4,242 registered voters, with a margin of error of +/-4.0%.

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